April 1, 2004
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chris Lytle | Tiki Ghosn |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 981 | 878 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -27 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Chris Lytle | Tiki Ghosn |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 981 | 923 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chris Lytle | Tiki Ghosn |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:55 | 1:55 |
| Win Type ELO | 991 | 862 |
| ELO Change | +59 | -38 |
Chris Lytle earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 1:55, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Tiki Ghosn was submitted.
| Metric | Chris Lytle | Tiki Ghosn |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 34 | 27 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 80 | 49 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 50 | 32 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 951 | 829 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Chris Lytle edged the striking exchanges with 34 vs 27 significant strikes, 42.5% vs 55.1% accuracy. Chris Lytle capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chris Lytle | Tiki Ghosn |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:49 | 0:27 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 916 | 718 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -50 |
Chris Lytle controlled Tiki Ghosn on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 0:49 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Chris Lytle | Tiki Ghosn |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 133 | 497 |
| Activity ELO | 1 005 | 927 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -20 |
Chris Lytle demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Chris Lytle capitalized on this activity level, while Tiki Ghosn's 497-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Lytle | Tiki Ghosn |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 984 | 923 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Chris Lytle started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tiki Ghosn is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chris Lytle | Tiki Ghosn |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 981 | 923 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.