March 22, 2025
Lightweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chris Padilla | Jai Herbert |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 093 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -30 |
Chris Padilla overcame a 6-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 9 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jai Herbert.
| Metric | Chris Padilla | Jai Herbert |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 058 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chris Padilla | Jai Herbert |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 101 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | +11 | -11 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Chris Padilla receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Chris Padilla | Jai Herbert |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 39 | 38 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 98 | 122 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 88 | 59 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 077 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Chris Padilla edged the striking exchanges with 88 vs 59 total strikes, 39.8% vs 31.1% accuracy. Chris Padilla capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chris Padilla | Jai Herbert |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:41 | 0:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 176 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
Chris Padilla did not secure a significant ground advantage against Jai Herbert on the ground with 3:41 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Chris Padilla | Jai Herbert |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 197 | 232 |
| Activity ELO | 1 087 | 1 034 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -21 |
Chris Padilla demonstrated standard activity with 197 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Chris Padilla capitalized on this activity level, while Jai Herbert's 232-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Padilla | Jai Herbert |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 070 | 991 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -19 |
Chris Padilla extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jai Herbert is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chris Padilla | Jai Herbert |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 058 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.