April 26, 2024
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chris Padilla | James Llontop |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Chris Padilla | James Llontop |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chris Padilla | James Llontop |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:33 | 4:33 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 069 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +69 | -42 |
Chris Padilla earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:33, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Chris Padilla | James Llontop |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 12 | 19 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 26 | 40 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 14 | 19 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
James Llontop controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (19 vs 12). However, since James Llontop lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Chris Padilla's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Chris Padilla | James Llontop |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:20 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 148 | 852 |
| ELO Change | +148 | -148 |
Chris Padilla dominated James Llontop on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 1:20 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Chris Padilla | James Llontop |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Chris Padilla demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Chris Padilla capitalized on this activity level, while James Llontop's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Padilla | James Llontop |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 023 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Chris Padilla started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. James Llontop is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chris Padilla | James Llontop |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.