September 6, 2024
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chris Padilla | Rongzhu |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 052 | 949 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -28 |
Chris Padilla overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 4 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Rongzhu.
| Metric | Chris Padilla | Rongzhu |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 039 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chris Padilla | Rongzhu |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | TKO - Doctor's Stoppage | TKO - Doctor's Stoppage |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:14 | 4:14 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 090 | 992 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Chris Padilla gained a finish with a TKO - Doctor's Stoppage in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Padilla | Rongzhu |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 68 | 49 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 105 | 88 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 73 | 49 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 052 | 995 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Chris Padilla controlled the striking exchanges with 73 vs 49 total strikes, 68 vs 49 significant strikes, 64.8% vs 55.7% accuracy. Chris Padilla capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chris Padilla | Rongzhu |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:12 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 160 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -12 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Chris Padilla | Rongzhu |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 133 | 924 |
| Activity ELO | 1 061 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -20 |
Chris Padilla demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Chris Padilla capitalized on this activity level, while Rongzhu's 924-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Padilla | Rongzhu |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 045 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -18 |
Chris Padilla extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rongzhu is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chris Padilla | Rongzhu |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 039 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.