January 24, 2007
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chris Price | Ed Herman |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 934 | 954 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Chris Price | Ed Herman |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 958 | 981 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chris Price | Ed Herman |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:58 | 2:58 |
| Win Type ELO | 916 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -47 | +82 |
Ed Herman earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:58, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Chris Price | Ed Herman |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 5 | 5 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 5 | 9 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 8 | 13 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 897 | 961 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Chris Price controlled the striking through superior accuracy (100.0% vs 55.6%). However, since Chris Price lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Ed Herman's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Chris Price | Ed Herman |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:03 | 2:43 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 807 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | -134 | +134 |
Ed Herman dominated Chris Price on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 2:43 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Chris Price | Ed Herman |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 108 | 108 |
| Activity ELO | 958 | 1 015 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +56 |
Ed Herman demonstrated solid activity levels with 108 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Ed Herman capitalized on this activity level, while Chris Price's 108-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Price | Ed Herman |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 958 | 983 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +24 |
Ed Herman started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Chris Price is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chris Price | Ed Herman |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 958 | 981 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

