September 16, 2016
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chris Wade | Islam Makhachev |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 036 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +46 |
Islam Makhachev overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 6 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Chris Wade.
| Metric | Chris Wade | Islam Makhachev |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 031 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chris Wade | Islam Makhachev |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 091 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | -55 | +55 |
Islam Makhachev earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Chris Wade | Islam Makhachev |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 5 | 12 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 17 | 19 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 42 | 51 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 087 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -50 | +50 |
Islam Makhachev slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 12 vs 5 significant strikes, 63.2% vs 29.4% accuracy. Islam Makhachev capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chris Wade | Islam Makhachev |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:04 | 8:56 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 1 075 | 1 187 |
| ELO Change | -77 | +77 |
Islam Makhachev controlled Chris Wade on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 8:56 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Wade | Islam Makhachev |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 132 | 350 |
| Activity ELO | 1 072 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Islam Makhachev demonstrated standard activity with 350 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Islam Makhachev capitalized on this activity level, while Chris Wade's 132-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Wade | Islam Makhachev |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 049 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +28 |
Islam Makhachev started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Chris Wade is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chris Wade | Islam Makhachev |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 031 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.