May 7, 2016
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chris Wade | Rustam Khabilov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 074 | 1 120 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
Rustam Khabilov's 2-fight experience advantage (7 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Rustam Khabilov for the expected result. Had Chris Wade pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Chris Wade | Rustam Khabilov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 055 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chris Wade | Rustam Khabilov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 146 | 1 215 |
| ELO Change | -45 | +45 |
Rustam Khabilov earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Chris Wade | Rustam Khabilov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 25 | 50 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 58 | 73 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 42 | 79 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 137 | 1 219 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +38 |
Rustam Khabilov controlled the striking exchanges with 79 vs 42 total strikes, 50 vs 25 significant strikes, 68.5% vs 43.1% accuracy. Rustam Khabilov capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chris Wade | Rustam Khabilov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 6 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 9 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:42 | 6:37 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 28 |
| Ground ELO | 1 152 | 1 326 |
| ELO Change | -113 | +113 |
Rustam Khabilov dominated Chris Wade on the ground with 6 vs 0 takedowns, 6:37 of control time, 28 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Wade | Rustam Khabilov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 112 | 71 |
| Activity ELO | 1 099 | 1 151 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +71 |
Rustam Khabilov demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 71 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Rustam Khabilov capitalized on this activity level, while Chris Wade's 112-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Wade | Rustam Khabilov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 074 | 1 093 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +28 |
Rustam Khabilov extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Chris Wade is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chris Wade | Rustam Khabilov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 055 | 1 070 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.