October 17, 2019
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chris Weidman | Dominick Reyes |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 15 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 9 | -9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 291 | 1 284 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +66 |
Dominick Reyes overcame a 9-fight experience disadvantage (6 vs 15 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Chris Weidman.
| Metric | Chris Weidman | Dominick Reyes |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 252 | 1 133 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chris Weidman | Dominick Reyes |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:43 | 1:43 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 497 | 1 495 |
| ELO Change | -66 | +159 |
Dominick Reyes earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:43, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Chris Weidman | Dominick Reyes |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 3 | 8 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 6 | 11 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 10 | 9 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 268 | 1 457 |
| ELO Change | -102 | +102 |
Dominick Reyes controlled the striking exchanges with 8 vs 3 significant strikes, 72.7% vs 50.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Dominick Reyes capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chris Weidman | Dominick Reyes |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:10 | 0:09 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 461 | 1 257 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +42 |
Dominick Reyes landed 1 knockdown followed by 4 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Chris Weidman | Dominick Reyes |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 349 | 216 |
| Activity ELO | 1 305 | 1 232 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +36 |
Dominick Reyes demonstrated standard activity with 216 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Dominick Reyes capitalized on this activity level, while Chris Weidman's 349-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Weidman | Dominick Reyes |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 6 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 300 | 1 217 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +76 |
Dominick Reyes continued building serious momentum with a 6-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Chris Weidman's now at 0.
| Metric | Chris Weidman | Dominick Reyes |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 107 | 1 123 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.