December 11, 2015
UFC Middleweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chris Weidman | Luke Rockhold |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 412 | 1 337 |
| ELO Change | -47 | +59 |
Luke Rockhold overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (6 vs 10 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Chris Weidman.
| Metric | Chris Weidman | Luke Rockhold |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 368 | 1 204 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +108 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Luke Rockhold captured the UFC Middleweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Chris Weidman | Luke Rockhold |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 4 | 4 |
| Time of Finish | 3:12 | 3:12 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 680 | 1 575 |
| ELO Change | -73 | +145 |
Luke Rockhold gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 4, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Weidman | Luke Rockhold |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 48 | 126 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 75 | 191 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 62 | 161 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 626 | 1 523 |
| ELO Change | -142 | +142 |
Luke Rockhold dominated the striking exchanges with 161 vs 62 total strikes, 126 vs 48 significant strikes. Luke Rockhold capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chris Weidman | Luke Rockhold |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:27 | 5:32 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 73 |
| Ground ELO | 1 515 | 1 552 |
| ELO Change | -118 | +118 |
Luke Rockhold controlled Chris Weidman on the ground with 2 takedowns, 5:32 of control time, 73 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Weidman | Luke Rockhold |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 204 | 239 |
| Activity ELO | 1 359 | 1 249 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +39 |
Luke Rockhold demonstrated standard activity with 239 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Luke Rockhold capitalized on this activity level, while Chris Weidman's 204-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Weidman | Luke Rockhold |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 5 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 412 | 1 197 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +69 |
Luke Rockhold continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Chris Weidman's now at 0.
| Metric | Chris Weidman | Luke Rockhold |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 178 | 1 118 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.