August 7, 2020
Middleweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chris Weidman | Omari Akhmedov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 16 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 318 | 1 209 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Chris Weidman's 4-fight experience advantage (16 vs 12 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Chris Weidman for the expected result. Had Omari Akhmedov pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Chris Weidman | Omari Akhmedov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 265 | 1 102 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -13 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chris Weidman | Omari Akhmedov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 518 | 1 288 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Chris Weidman earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Chris Weidman | Omari Akhmedov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 29 | 33 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 56 | 91 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 67 | 60 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 287 | 1 188 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
Chris Weidman slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 51.8% vs 36.3% accuracy. Chris Weidman capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chris Weidman | Omari Akhmedov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 5 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 16 | 8 |
| Ground Control Time | 8:17 | 1:34 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 11 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 512 | 1 279 |
| ELO Change | +51 | -51 |
Chris Weidman controlled Omari Akhmedov on the ground with 5 vs 4 takedowns, 8:17 of control time, 11 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Weidman | Omari Akhmedov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 295 | 238 |
| Activity ELO | 1 319 | 1 169 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -14 |
Chris Weidman demonstrated standard activity with 295 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Chris Weidman capitalized on this activity level, while Omari Akhmedov's 238-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Weidman | Omari Akhmedov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 313 | 1 132 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -12 |
Chris Weidman started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Omari Akhmedov is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chris Weidman | Omari Akhmedov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 128 | 1 093 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.