November 18, 2011
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chris Weidman | Tom Lawlor |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 151 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -25 |
Chris Weidman overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 6 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Tom Lawlor.
| Metric | Chris Weidman | Tom Lawlor |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 062 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chris Weidman | Tom Lawlor |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:07 | 2:07 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 202 | 1 093 |
| ELO Change | +76 | -43 |
Chris Weidman earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:07, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Chris Weidman | Tom Lawlor |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 3 | 2 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 6 | 7 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 3 | 2 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 129 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Chris Weidman slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 50.0% vs 28.6% accuracy. Chris Weidman capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chris Weidman | Tom Lawlor |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:27 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 251 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -44 |
Chris Weidman controlled Tom Lawlor on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:27 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Chris Weidman | Tom Lawlor |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 162 | 393 |
| Activity ELO | 1 111 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -20 |
Chris Weidman demonstrated solid activity levels with 162 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Chris Weidman capitalized on this activity level, while Tom Lawlor's 393-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Weidman | Tom Lawlor |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 076 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -19 |
Chris Weidman extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tom Lawlor is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chris Weidman | Tom Lawlor |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 062 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.