January 30, 2009
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chris Wilson | John Howard |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 947 | 1 071 |
| ELO Change | -71 | +71 |
John Howard overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 3 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Chris Wilson.
| Metric | Chris Wilson | John Howard |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 987 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chris Wilson | John Howard |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 021 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +11 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with John Howard receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Chris Wilson | John Howard |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 45 | 21 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 82 | 41 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 67 | 80 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 144 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Chris Wilson controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (45 vs 21). However, since Chris Wilson lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. John Howard's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Chris Wilson | John Howard |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 7 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:11 | 6:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 16 | 9 |
| Ground ELO | 989 | 1 083 |
| ELO Change | -83 | +83 |
John Howard controlled Chris Wilson on the ground with 7 vs 2 takedowns, 6:01 of control time, 9 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Wilson | John Howard |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 176 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 007 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
John Howard demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, John Howard capitalized on this activity level, while Chris Wilson's 176-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Wilson | John Howard |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 993 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +24 |
John Howard started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Chris Wilson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chris Wilson | John Howard |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 987 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.