August 28, 2020
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Christian Aguilera | Sean Brady |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 000 | 1 163 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Christian Aguilera | Sean Brady |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 001 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Christian Aguilera | Sean Brady |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:47 | 1:47 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 067 | 1 166 |
| ELO Change | -44 | +68 |
Sean Brady earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 1:47, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Christian Aguilera was submitted.
| Metric | Christian Aguilera | Sean Brady |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 16 | 34 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 39 | 60 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 17 | 65 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 035 | 1 165 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +43 |
Sean Brady controlled the striking exchanges with 65 vs 17 total strikes, 34 vs 16 significant strikes, 56.7% vs 41.0% accuracy. Sean Brady capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Christian Aguilera | Sean Brady |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 2:08 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 935 | 1 248 |
| ELO Change | -86 | +86 |
Sean Brady dominated Christian Aguilera on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 2:08 of control time, 6 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Christian Aguilera | Sean Brady |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 77 | 182 |
| Activity ELO | 1 003 | 1 096 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +22 |
Sean Brady demonstrated standard activity with 182 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Sean Brady capitalized on this activity level, while Christian Aguilera's 77-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Christian Aguilera | Sean Brady |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 004 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +25 |
Sean Brady extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Christian Aguilera is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Christian Aguilera | Sean Brady |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 001 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.