November 18, 2016
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Christian Colombo | Luis Henrique |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 964 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Christian Colombo | Luis Henrique |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 978 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Christian Colombo | Luis Henrique |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 2:12 | 2:12 |
| Win Type ELO | 961 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +57 |
Luis Henrique earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 2:12, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Christian Colombo was submitted.
| Metric | Christian Colombo | Luis Henrique |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 3 | 31 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 14 | 52 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 32 | 57 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 925 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | -73 | +73 |
Luis Henrique controlled the striking exchanges with 57 vs 32 total strikes, 31 vs 3 significant strikes, 59.6% vs 21.4% accuracy. Luis Henrique capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Christian Colombo | Luis Henrique |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 6 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 9:14 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 21 |
| Ground ELO | 858 | 1 270 |
| ELO Change | -138 | +138 |
Luis Henrique dominated Christian Colombo on the ground with 6 vs 0 takedowns, 9:14 of control time, 21 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Christian Colombo | Luis Henrique |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 78 | 120 |
| Activity ELO | 978 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +41 |
Luis Henrique demonstrated solid activity levels with 120 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Luis Henrique capitalized on this activity level, while Christian Colombo's 78-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Christian Colombo | Luis Henrique |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 978 | 1 028 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +25 |
Luis Henrique extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Christian Colombo is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Christian Colombo | Luis Henrique |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 978 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.