October 27, 2017
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Christian Colombo | Marcelo Golm |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 904 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -60 | +60 |
Marcelo Golm overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 3 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Christian Colombo.
| Metric | Christian Colombo | Marcelo Golm |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 958 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Christian Colombo | Marcelo Golm |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:08 | 2:08 |
| Win Type ELO | 924 | 1 065 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +65 |
Marcelo Golm earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:08, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Christian Colombo | Marcelo Golm |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 2 | 35 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 8 | 54 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 4 | 47 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 851 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | -74 | +74 |
Marcelo Golm controlled the striking exchanges with 47 vs 4 total strikes, 35 vs 2 significant strikes, 64.8% vs 25.0% accuracy. Marcelo Golm capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Christian Colombo | Marcelo Golm |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:22 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 20 |
| Ground ELO | 782 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | -76 | +76 |
Marcelo Golm dominated Christian Colombo on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:22 of control time, 20 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Christian Colombo | Marcelo Golm |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 343 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 958 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Marcelo Golm demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Marcelo Golm capitalized on this activity level, while Christian Colombo's 343-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Christian Colombo | Marcelo Golm |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 958 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +22 |
Marcelo Golm started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Christian Colombo is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Christian Colombo | Marcelo Golm |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 958 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.