May 16, 2026
Catch Weight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
| Metric | Christian Edwards | Modestas Bukauskas |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 13 |
| Experience Gap | -12 | 12 |
| Experience ELO | 980 | 1 150 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Modestas Bukauskas's 12-fight experience advantage (13 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Modestas Bukauskas for the expected result. Had Christian Edwards pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Christian Edwards | Modestas Bukauskas |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 982 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Christian Edwards | Modestas Bukauskas |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 997 | 1 285 |
| ELO Change | -3 | +3 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Modestas Bukauskas receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Christian Edwards | Modestas Bukauskas |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 36 | 36 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 71 | 80 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 51 | 52 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 981 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
The striking was extremely close with minimal separation between fighters. However, since Christian Edwards lost the overall fight, any slight striking edge couldn't be converted into ELO gains. Modestas Bukauskas's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Christian Edwards | Modestas Bukauskas |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:22 | 2:15 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 985 | 1 122 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +15 |
Modestas Bukauskas did not secure a significant ground advantage against Christian Edwards on the ground with 2:15 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Christian Edwards | Modestas Bukauskas |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 112 |
| Activity ELO | 989 | 1 207 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +28 |
Modestas Bukauskas demonstrated solid activity levels with 112 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Modestas Bukauskas capitalized on this activity level, while Christian Edwards's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Christian Edwards | Modestas Bukauskas |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 984 | 1 096 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +18 |
Modestas Bukauskas started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Christian Edwards is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Christian Edwards | Modestas Bukauskas |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | N/A | N/A |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 982 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.