March 1, 2024
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Christian Leroy Duncan | Claudio Ribeiro |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 095 | 956 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -15 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Christian Leroy Duncan | Claudio Ribeiro |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 038 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Christian Leroy Duncan | Claudio Ribeiro |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:57 | 1:57 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 203 | 1 009 |
| ELO Change | +62 | -30 |
Christian Leroy Duncan gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Christian Leroy Duncan | Claudio Ribeiro |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 65 | 4 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 92 | 26 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 75 | 13 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 207 | 938 |
| ELO Change | +79 | -79 |
Christian Leroy Duncan dominated the striking exchanges with 75 vs 13 total strikes, 65 vs 4 significant strikes, 70.7% vs 15.4% accuracy. Christian Leroy Duncan capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Christian Leroy Duncan | Claudio Ribeiro |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:15 | 1:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 22 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 065 | 900 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -50 |
Christian Leroy Duncan controlled Claudio Ribeiro on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 2:15 of control time, 22 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Christian Leroy Duncan | Claudio Ribeiro |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 105 | 218 |
| Activity ELO | 1 088 | 998 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -20 |
Christian Leroy Duncan demonstrated solid activity levels with 105 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Christian Leroy Duncan capitalized on this activity level, while Claudio Ribeiro's 218-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Christian Leroy Duncan | Claudio Ribeiro |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 045 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -19 |
Christian Leroy Duncan extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Claudio Ribeiro is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Christian Leroy Duncan | Claudio Ribeiro |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 038 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.