November 17, 2023
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Christian Leroy Duncan | Denis Tiuliulin |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 072 | 942 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -25 |
Christian Leroy Duncan overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 5 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Denis Tiuliulin.
| Metric | Christian Leroy Duncan | Denis Tiuliulin |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 019 | 945 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Christian Leroy Duncan | Denis Tiuliulin |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:24 | 4:24 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 141 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +66 | -32 |
Christian Leroy Duncan gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Christian Leroy Duncan | Denis Tiuliulin |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 65 | 30 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 87 | 71 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 90 | 37 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 128 | 877 |
| ELO Change | +79 | -79 |
Christian Leroy Duncan dominated the striking exchanges with 90 vs 37 total strikes, 65 vs 30 significant strikes, 74.7% vs 42.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Christian Leroy Duncan capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Christian Leroy Duncan | Denis Tiuliulin |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:51 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 015 | 793 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -38 |
Christian Leroy Duncan landed 1 knockdown followed by 3 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Christian Leroy Duncan | Denis Tiuliulin |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 155 | 92 |
| Activity ELO | 1 039 | 972 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -20 |
Christian Leroy Duncan demonstrated solid activity levels with 155 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Christian Leroy Duncan capitalized on this activity level, while Denis Tiuliulin's 92-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Christian Leroy Duncan | Denis Tiuliulin |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 023 | 950 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -19 |
Christian Leroy Duncan started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Denis Tiuliulin is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Christian Leroy Duncan | Denis Tiuliulin |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 019 | 945 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.