March 17, 2023
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Christian Leroy Duncan | Dusko Todorovic |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 075 | 922 |
| ELO Change | +75 | -75 |
Christian Leroy Duncan overcame a 6-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 7 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Dusko Todorovic.
| Metric | Christian Leroy Duncan | Dusko Todorovic |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 021 | 975 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Christian Leroy Duncan | Dusko Todorovic |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:52 | 1:52 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 131 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | +131 | -55 |
Christian Leroy Duncan earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:52, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Christian Leroy Duncan | Dusko Todorovic |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 9 | 4 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 14 | 6 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 14 | 6 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 083 | 953 |
| ELO Change | +83 | -83 |
Christian Leroy Duncan slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 9 vs 4 significant strikes. Christian Leroy Duncan capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Christian Leroy Duncan | Dusko Todorovic |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:38 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 022 | 973 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Christian Leroy Duncan did not secure a significant ground advantage against Dusko Todorovic on the ground with 0:38 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Christian Leroy Duncan | Dusko Todorovic |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 155 |
| Activity ELO | 1 023 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Christian Leroy Duncan demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Christian Leroy Duncan capitalized on this activity level, while Dusko Todorovic's 155-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Christian Leroy Duncan | Dusko Todorovic |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 023 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Christian Leroy Duncan started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dusko Todorovic is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Christian Leroy Duncan | Dusko Todorovic |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 021 | 975 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.