November 8, 2025
Middleweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
| Metric | Christian Leroy Duncan | Marco Tulio |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 176 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Christian Leroy Duncan's 5-fight experience advantage (8 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Christian Leroy Duncan for the expected result. Had Marco Tulio pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Christian Leroy Duncan | Marco Tulio |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 080 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Christian Leroy Duncan | Marco Tulio |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:20 | 3:20 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 372 | 1 152 |
| ELO Change | +53 | -26 |
Christian Leroy Duncan gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Christian Leroy Duncan | Marco Tulio |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 23 | 27 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 46 | 57 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 40 | 42 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 363 | 1 150 |
| ELO Change | +63 | -63 |
Christian Leroy Duncan controlled the striking exchanges, including 1 devastating knockdown. Christian Leroy Duncan capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Christian Leroy Duncan | Marco Tulio |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:10 | 2:33 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 104 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Christian Leroy Duncan landed 1 knockdown followed by 2 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Christian Leroy Duncan | Marco Tulio |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 91 | 210 |
| Activity ELO | 1 186 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -17 |
Christian Leroy Duncan demonstrated solid activity levels with 91 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Christian Leroy Duncan capitalized on this activity level, while Marco Tulio's 210-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Christian Leroy Duncan | Marco Tulio |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 100 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -19 |
Christian Leroy Duncan extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Marco Tulio is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Christian Leroy Duncan | Marco Tulio |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 080 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.