Christian Morecraft vs Matt Mitrione

June 25, 2011

Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

996
(-24)
Christian Morecraft
Winner: Matt Mitrione
KO/TKO
Round 2 • 4:28

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Christian Morecraft-24
Matt Mitrione+30
1164
(+30)
Matt Mitrione

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Christian Morecraft: -23Matt Mitrione: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricChristian MorecraftMatt Mitrione
Total UFC Fights35
Experience Gap-22
Experience ELO9851 132
ELO Change-23+23
💡

What Happened

Matt Mitrione's 2-fight experience advantage (5 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Matt Mitrione for the expected result. Had Christian Morecraft pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Christian Morecraft: -16Matt Mitrione: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricChristian MorecraftMatt Mitrione
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9861 094
ELO Change-16+16
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Christian Morecraft: -20Matt Mitrione: +42

Performance Statistics

MetricChristian MorecraftMatt Mitrione
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round22
Time of Finish4:284:28
Win Type ELO1 0271 286
ELO Change-20+42
💡

What Happened

Matt Mitrione gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Christian Morecraft: -58Matt Mitrione: +58

Performance Statistics

MetricChristian MorecraftMatt Mitrione
Significant Strikes Landed1737
Significant Strikes Attempted9080
Total Strikes Landed2245
Knockdowns Scored03
Striking ELO9031 289
ELO Change-58+58
💡

What Happened

Matt Mitrione dominated the striking exchanges with 45 vs 22 total strikes, 37 vs 17 significant strikes, 46.3% vs 18.9% accuracy, including 3 devastating knockdowns. Matt Mitrione capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Christian Morecraft: -27Matt Mitrione: +27

Performance Statistics

MetricChristian MorecraftMatt Mitrione
Takedowns Landed20
Takedowns Attempted30
Ground Control Time1:490:53
Ground Strikes Landed02
Ground ELO1 0871 139
ELO Change-27+27
💡

What Happened

Matt Mitrione landed 3 knockdowns followed by 2 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Christian Morecraft: -15Matt Mitrione: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricChristian MorecraftMatt Mitrione
Days Since Last Fight92155
Activity ELO1 0011 152
ELO Change-15+25
💡

What Happened

Matt Mitrione demonstrated solid activity levels with 155 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Matt Mitrione capitalized on this activity level, while Christian Morecraft's 92-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Christian Morecraft: -16Matt Mitrione: +30

Performance Statistics

MetricChristian MorecraftMatt Mitrione
Win Streak05
Win Streak ELO9901 125
ELO Change-16+30
💡

What Happened

Matt Mitrione continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Christian Morecraft's now at 0.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Christian Morecraft: -16Matt Mitrione: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricChristian MorecraftMatt Mitrione
Weight ClassHeavyweightHeavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9861 094
ELO Change-16+16
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.