Christian Morecraft vs Pat Barry

January 19, 2012

Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

964
(-32)
Christian Morecraft
Winner: Pat Barry
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 3:38

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Christian Morecraft-32
Pat Barry+41
1043
(+41)
Pat Barry

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Christian Morecraft: -32Pat Barry: +32

Performance Statistics

MetricChristian MorecraftPat Barry
Total UFC Fights48
Experience Gap-44
Experience ELO9531 010
ELO Change-32+32
💡

What Happened

Pat Barry's 4-fight experience advantage (8 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Pat Barry for the expected result. Had Christian Morecraft pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Christian Morecraft: -21Pat Barry: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricChristian MorecraftPat Barry
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9651 005
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Christian Morecraft: -35Pat Barry: +74

Performance Statistics

MetricChristian MorecraftPat Barry
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish3:383:38
Win Type ELO9921 163
ELO Change-35+74
💡

What Happened

Pat Barry earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:38, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Christian Morecraft: -71Pat Barry: +71

Performance Statistics

MetricChristian MorecraftPat Barry
Significant Strikes Landed312
Significant Strikes Attempted1913
Total Strikes Landed512
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO8321 115
ELO Change-71+71
💡

What Happened

Pat Barry controlled the striking exchanges with 12 vs 3 significant strikes, 92.3% vs 15.8% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Pat Barry capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Christian Morecraft: -36Pat Barry: +36

Performance Statistics

MetricChristian MorecraftPat Barry
Takedowns Landed20
Takedowns Attempted30
Ground Control Time1:210:25
Ground Strikes Landed14
Ground ELO1 051958
ELO Change-36+36
💡

What Happened

Pat Barry landed 1 knockdown followed by 4 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Christian Morecraft: -20Pat Barry: +49

Performance Statistics

MetricChristian MorecraftPat Barry
Days Since Last Fight209112
Activity ELO9811 072
ELO Change-20+49
💡

What Happened

Pat Barry demonstrated solid activity levels with 112 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Pat Barry capitalized on this activity level, while Christian Morecraft's 209-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Christian Morecraft: -21Pat Barry: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricChristian MorecraftPat Barry
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9691 015
ELO Change-21+23
💡

What Happened

Pat Barry started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Christian Morecraft is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Christian Morecraft: -21Pat Barry: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricChristian MorecraftPat Barry
Weight ClassHeavyweightHeavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9651 004
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.