March 15, 2024
Featherweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Christian Rodriguez | Isaac Dulgarian |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 110 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Christian Rodriguez's 3-fight experience advantage (5 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Christian Rodriguez for the expected result. Had Isaac Dulgarian pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Christian Rodriguez | Isaac Dulgarian |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 067 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Christian Rodriguez | Isaac Dulgarian |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 151 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | +9 | -9 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Christian Rodriguez receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Christian Rodriguez | Isaac Dulgarian |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 48 | 22 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 76 | 44 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 97 | 56 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 182 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Christian Rodriguez controlled the striking exchanges with 97 vs 56 total strikes, 48 vs 22 significant strikes, 63.2% vs 50.0% accuracy. Christian Rodriguez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Christian Rodriguez | Isaac Dulgarian |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 7 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 16 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:19 | 9:22 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 17 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 1 196 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
Christian Rodriguez did not secure a significant ground advantage against Isaac Dulgarian on the ground with 0 takedowns, 3:19 of control time, 17 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Christian Rodriguez | Isaac Dulgarian |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 155 | 218 |
| Activity ELO | 1 109 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -18 |
Christian Rodriguez demonstrated solid activity levels with 155 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Christian Rodriguez capitalized on this activity level, while Isaac Dulgarian's 218-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Christian Rodriguez | Isaac Dulgarian |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 088 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -19 |
Christian Rodriguez extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Isaac Dulgarian is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Christian Rodriguez | Isaac Dulgarian |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 067 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.