February 18, 2022
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Christian Rodriguez | Jonathan Pearce |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 973 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Jonathan Pearce's 3-fight experience advantage (4 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jonathan Pearce for the expected result. Had Christian Rodriguez pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Christian Rodriguez | Jonathan Pearce |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 981 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Christian Rodriguez | Jonathan Pearce |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 975 | 1 173 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Jonathan Pearce earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Christian Rodriguez | Jonathan Pearce |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 26 | 18 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 60 | 44 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 38 | 59 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 974 | 1 036 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Jonathan Pearce edged the striking exchanges with 59 vs 38 total strikes, 18 vs 26 significant strikes. Jonathan Pearce capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Christian Rodriguez | Jonathan Pearce |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 6 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 10 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:05 | 11:17 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 959 | 1 266 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +41 |
Jonathan Pearce dominated Christian Rodriguez on the ground with 6 vs 2 takedowns, 11:17 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Christian Rodriguez | Jonathan Pearce |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 148 |
| Activity ELO | 981 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +38 |
Jonathan Pearce demonstrated solid activity levels with 148 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jonathan Pearce capitalized on this activity level, while Christian Rodriguez's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Christian Rodriguez | Jonathan Pearce |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 981 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +24 |
Jonathan Pearce extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Christian Rodriguez is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Christian Rodriguez | Jonathan Pearce |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 981 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.