October 28, 2022
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Christian Rodriguez | Joshua Weems |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 007 | 966 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Christian Rodriguez | Joshua Weems |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 003 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Christian Rodriguez | Joshua Weems |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:07 | 4:07 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 049 | 955 |
| ELO Change | +74 | -45 |
Christian Rodriguez earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:07, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Christian Rodriguez | Joshua Weems |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 9 | 18 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 23 | 26 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 15 | 22 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 997 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Joshua Weems controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (18 vs 9), superior accuracy (69.2% vs 39.1%). However, since Joshua Weems lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Christian Rodriguez's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Christian Rodriguez | Joshua Weems |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:56 | 1:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 020 | 939 |
| ELO Change | +61 | -61 |
Christian Rodriguez controlled Joshua Weems on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:56 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Christian Rodriguez | Joshua Weems |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 252 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 009 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -22 |
Christian Rodriguez demonstrated standard activity with 252 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Christian Rodriguez capitalized on this activity level, while Joshua Weems's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Christian Rodriguez | Joshua Weems |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 005 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -22 |
Christian Rodriguez started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Joshua Weems is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Christian Rodriguez | Joshua Weems |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 003 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.