March 29, 2025
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Christian Rodriguez | Melquizael Costa |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 063 | 1 150 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +33 |
Melquizael Costa overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (6 vs 8 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Christian Rodriguez.
| Metric | Christian Rodriguez | Melquizael Costa |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 038 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Christian Rodriguez | Melquizael Costa |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 100 | 1 204 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +39 |
Melquizael Costa earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Christian Rodriguez | Melquizael Costa |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 64 | 65 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 98 | 105 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 77 | 159 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 129 | 1 146 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Melquizael Costa dominated the striking exchanges with 159 vs 77 total strikes. Melquizael Costa capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Christian Rodriguez | Melquizael Costa |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 6 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 15 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 6:48 | 4:53 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 9 | 29 |
| Ground ELO | 1 114 | 1 135 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Melquizael Costa slightly outworked Christian Rodriguez on the ground with 1 takedown, 4:53 of control time, 29 ground strikes, earning modest grappling bonuses.
| Metric | Christian Rodriguez | Melquizael Costa |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 77 | 35 |
| Activity ELO | 1 084 | 1 190 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +114 |
Melquizael Costa demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 35 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Melquizael Costa capitalized on this activity level, while Christian Rodriguez's 77-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Christian Rodriguez | Melquizael Costa |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 061 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +30 |
Melquizael Costa extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Christian Rodriguez is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Christian Rodriguez | Melquizael Costa |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 038 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.