May 23, 2008
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Christian Wellisch | Shane Carwin |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 960 | 1 077 |
| ELO Change | -77 | +77 |
Shane Carwin overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 4 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Christian Wellisch.
| Metric | Christian Wellisch | Shane Carwin |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 000 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Christian Wellisch | Shane Carwin |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:44 | 0:44 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 022 | 1 134 |
| ELO Change | -51 | +134 |
Shane Carwin secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:44 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Christian Wellisch | Shane Carwin |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 2 | 5 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 11 | 14 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 2 | 5 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 863 | 1 096 |
| ELO Change | -96 | +96 |
Shane Carwin controlled the striking exchanges with 35.7% vs 18.2% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Shane Carwin capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Christian Wellisch | Shane Carwin |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 999 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | -61 | +61 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Christian Wellisch | Shane Carwin |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 245 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 023 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Shane Carwin demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Shane Carwin capitalized on this activity level, while Christian Wellisch's 245-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Christian Wellisch | Shane Carwin |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 005 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +25 |
Shane Carwin started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Christian Wellisch is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Christian Wellisch | Shane Carwin |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 000 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.