September 15, 2023
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Christos Giagos | Daniel Zellhuber |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 13 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 10 | -10 |
| Experience ELO | 1 016 | 1 087 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +55 |
Daniel Zellhuber overcame a 10-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 13 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Christos Giagos.
| Metric | Christos Giagos | Daniel Zellhuber |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 992 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Christos Giagos | Daniel Zellhuber |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:26 | 3:26 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 113 | 1 105 |
| ELO Change | -60 | +93 |
Daniel Zellhuber earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 3:26, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Christos Giagos was submitted.
| Metric | Christos Giagos | Daniel Zellhuber |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 38 | 36 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 82 | 101 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 38 | 36 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 114 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Christos Giagos controlled the striking through superior accuracy (46.3% vs 35.6%). However, since Christos Giagos lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Daniel Zellhuber's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Christos Giagos | Daniel Zellhuber |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:11 | 0:17 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 047 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | -51 | +51 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Christos Giagos | Daniel Zellhuber |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 147 | 154 |
| Activity ELO | 1 059 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +44 |
Daniel Zellhuber demonstrated solid activity levels with 154 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Daniel Zellhuber capitalized on this activity level, while Christos Giagos's 147-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Christos Giagos | Daniel Zellhuber |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 009 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +27 |
Daniel Zellhuber extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Christos Giagos is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Christos Giagos | Daniel Zellhuber |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 991 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

