October 24, 2014
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Christos Giagos | Gilbert Burns |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 970 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Christos Giagos | Gilbert Burns |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 980 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Christos Giagos | Gilbert Burns |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:57 | 4:57 |
| Win Type ELO | 963 | 1 103 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +61 |
Gilbert Burns earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:57, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Christos Giagos | Gilbert Burns |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 4 | 7 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 13 | 13 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 6 | 18 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 959 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +41 |
Gilbert Burns slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 53.8% vs 30.8% accuracy. Gilbert Burns capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Christos Giagos | Gilbert Burns |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 3:36 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 881 | 1 154 |
| ELO Change | -119 | +119 |
Gilbert Burns dominated Christos Giagos on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 3:36 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Christos Giagos | Gilbert Burns |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 91 |
| Activity ELO | 980 | 1 070 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +49 |
Gilbert Burns demonstrated solid activity levels with 91 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Gilbert Burns capitalized on this activity level, while Christos Giagos's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Christos Giagos | Gilbert Burns |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 980 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +24 |
Gilbert Burns extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Christos Giagos is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Christos Giagos | Gilbert Burns |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 980 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

