May 14, 2021
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Christos Giagos | Sean Soriano |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 064 | 901 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Christos Giagos's 5-fight experience advantage (9 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Christos Giagos for the expected result. Had Sean Soriano pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Christos Giagos | Sean Soriano |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 031 | 923 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Christos Giagos | Sean Soriano |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 0:59 | 0:59 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 112 | 871 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -21 |
Christos Giagos earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 0:59, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Sean Soriano was submitted.
| Metric | Christos Giagos | Sean Soriano |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 22 | 33 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 54 | 53 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 23 | 37 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 089 | 902 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -12 |
Sean Soriano controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (33 vs 22), superior accuracy (62.3% vs 40.7%). However, since Sean Soriano lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Christos Giagos's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Christos Giagos | Sean Soriano |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:59 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 145 | 717 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Christos Giagos dominated Sean Soriano on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 0:59 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Christos Giagos | Sean Soriano |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 147 | 2 309 |
| Activity ELO | 1 102 | 929 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -13 |
Christos Giagos demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Christos Giagos capitalized on this activity level, while Sean Soriano's 2309-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Christos Giagos | Sean Soriano |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 045 | 925 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -16 |
Christos Giagos extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Sean Soriano is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Christos Giagos | Sean Soriano |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 030 | 923 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

