June 24, 2022
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Christos Giagos | Thiago Moises |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 014 | 1 142 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +28 |
Thiago Moises overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (9 vs 11 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Christos Giagos.
| Metric | Christos Giagos | Thiago Moises |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 990 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Christos Giagos | Thiago Moises |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:05 | 3:05 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 041 | 1 202 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +55 |
Thiago Moises earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:05, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Christos Giagos | Thiago Moises |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 2 | 3 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 5 | 4 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 13 | 7 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 929 | 970 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Thiago Moises slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 75.0% vs 40.0% accuracy. Thiago Moises capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Christos Giagos | Thiago Moises |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 2:34 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 037 | 1 141 |
| ELO Change | -73 | +73 |
Thiago Moises controlled Christos Giagos on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 2:34 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Christos Giagos | Thiago Moises |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 280 | 224 |
| Activity ELO | 1 062 | 1 141 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +23 |
Thiago Moises demonstrated standard activity with 224 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Thiago Moises capitalized on this activity level, while Christos Giagos's 280-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Christos Giagos | Thiago Moises |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 006 | 1 065 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +22 |
Thiago Moises started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Christos Giagos is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Christos Giagos | Thiago Moises |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 989 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.