March 4, 1999
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chuck Liddell | Jeremy Horn |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 980 | 957 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +41 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Chuck Liddell | Jeremy Horn |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 997 | 990 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chuck Liddell | Jeremy Horn |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 12:00 | 12:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 994 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | -54 | +90 |
Jeremy Horn earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 12:00, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Chuck Liddell | Jeremy Horn |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 12 | 8 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 24 | 11 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 58 | 13 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 038 | 963 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Chuck Liddell controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (58 vs 13 total strikes), superior accuracy (50.0% vs 72.7%). However, since Chuck Liddell lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Jeremy Horn's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Chuck Liddell | Jeremy Horn |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | -- | -- |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 8 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 936 | 983 |
| ELO Change | -120 | +120 |
Jeremy Horn controlled Chuck Liddell on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Chuck Liddell | Jeremy Horn |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 295 | 141 |
| Activity ELO | 997 | 1 013 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +49 |
Jeremy Horn demonstrated solid activity levels with 141 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jeremy Horn capitalized on this activity level, while Chuck Liddell's 295-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chuck Liddell | Jeremy Horn |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 998 | 989 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +27 |
Jeremy Horn started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Chuck Liddell is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chuck Liddell | Jeremy Horn |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 996 | 987 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.