August 19, 2005
UFC Light Heavyweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chuck Liddell | Jeremy Horn |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 14 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 268 | 955 |
| ELO Change | +10 | -10 |
Chuck Liddell's 6-fight experience advantage (14 vs 8 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Chuck Liddell for the expected result. Had Jeremy Horn pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Chuck Liddell | Jeremy Horn |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 282 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -9 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Chuck Liddell captured the UFC Light Heavyweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Chuck Liddell | Jeremy Horn |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 4 | 4 |
| Time of Finish | 2:46 | 2:46 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 540 | 1 140 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -9 |
Chuck Liddell gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 4, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Chuck Liddell | Jeremy Horn |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 64 | 31 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 191 | 87 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 64 | 31 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 2 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 587 | 1 132 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Chuck Liddell dominated the striking exchanges with 64 vs 31 total strikes, 64 vs 31 significant strikes, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Chuck Liddell capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chuck Liddell | Jeremy Horn |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 8 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:17 | 0:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 11 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 343 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Chuck Liddell landed 2 knockdowns followed by 11 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Chuck Liddell | Jeremy Horn |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 126 | 1 639 |
| Activity ELO | 1 312 | 1 082 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -10 |
Chuck Liddell demonstrated solid activity levels with 126 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Chuck Liddell capitalized on this activity level, while Jeremy Horn's 1639-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chuck Liddell | Jeremy Horn |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 264 | 1 033 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -10 |
Chuck Liddell extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jeremy Horn is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chuck Liddell | Jeremy Horn |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 191 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -12 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.

