September 21, 2007
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chuck Liddell | Keith Jardine |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 19 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | 12 | -12 |
| Experience ELO | 1 238 | 1 091 |
| ELO Change | -53 | +96 |
Keith Jardine overcame a 12-fight experience disadvantage (7 vs 19 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Chuck Liddell.
| Metric | Chuck Liddell | Keith Jardine |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 345 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +37 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chuck Liddell | Keith Jardine |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 576 | 1 175 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Keith Jardine receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Chuck Liddell | Keith Jardine |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 31 | 83 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 138 | 176 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 31 | 83 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 372 | 1 127 |
| ELO Change | -152 | +152 |
Keith Jardine dominated the striking exchanges with 83 vs 31 total strikes, 83 vs 31 significant strikes, 47.2% vs 22.5% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Keith Jardine capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chuck Liddell | Keith Jardine |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:06 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 346 | 1 090 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +37 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Chuck Liddell | Keith Jardine |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 119 | 119 |
| Activity ELO | 1 342 | 1 193 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +87 |
Keith Jardine demonstrated solid activity levels with 119 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Keith Jardine capitalized on this activity level, while Chuck Liddell's 119-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chuck Liddell | Keith Jardine |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 298 | 1 087 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +39 |
Keith Jardine started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Chuck Liddell is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chuck Liddell | Keith Jardine |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 189 | 1 067 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.