September 27, 2001
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chuck Liddell | Murilo Bustamante |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 121 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Chuck Liddell's 4-fight experience advantage (6 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Chuck Liddell for the expected result. Had Murilo Bustamante pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Chuck Liddell | Murilo Bustamante |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 084 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chuck Liddell | Murilo Bustamante |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 220 | 1 033 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Chuck Liddell earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Chuck Liddell | Murilo Bustamante |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 27 | 15 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 78 | 30 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 27 | 15 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 293 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -40 |
Chuck Liddell controlled the striking exchanges with 27 vs 15 significant strikes, 34.6% vs 50.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Chuck Liddell capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chuck Liddell | Murilo Bustamante |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 20 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:48 | 0:53 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 9 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 165 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | +57 | -57 |
Chuck Liddell landed 1 knockdown followed by 9 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Chuck Liddell | Murilo Bustamante |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 147 | 532 |
| Activity ELO | 1 123 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -17 |
Chuck Liddell demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Chuck Liddell capitalized on this activity level, while Murilo Bustamante's 532-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chuck Liddell | Murilo Bustamante |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 100 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -18 |
Chuck Liddell extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Murilo Bustamante is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chuck Liddell | Murilo Bustamante |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 079 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.