Chuck Liddell vs Renato Sobral

November 21, 2002

Light Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1235
(+27)
Chuck Liddell
Winner: Chuck Liddell
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 2:55

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Chuck Liddell+27
Renato Sobral-20
1032
(-20)
Renato Sobral

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Chuck Liddell: +25Renato Sobral: -25

Performance Statistics

MetricChuck LiddellRenato Sobral
Total UFC Fights94
Experience Gap5-5
Experience ELO1 1961 069
ELO Change+25-25
💡

What Happened

Chuck Liddell's 5-fight experience advantage (9 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Chuck Liddell for the expected result. Had Renato Sobral pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Chuck Liddell: +16Renato Sobral: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricChuck LiddellRenato Sobral
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 1361 016
ELO Change+16-16
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Chuck Liddell: +37Renato Sobral: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricChuck LiddellRenato Sobral
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish2:552:55
Win Type ELO1 3281 029
ELO Change+37-16
💡

What Happened

Chuck Liddell earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:55, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Chuck Liddell: +20Renato Sobral: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricChuck LiddellRenato Sobral
Significant Strikes Landed1310
Significant Strikes Attempted3518
Total Strikes Landed1310
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 398999
ELO Change+20-20
💡

What Happened

Chuck Liddell controlled the striking exchanges with 37.1% vs 55.6% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Chuck Liddell capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Chuck Liddell: +42Renato Sobral: -42

Performance Statistics

MetricChuck LiddellRenato Sobral
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted02
Ground Control Time0:030:00
Ground Strikes Landed10
Ground ELO1 2501 094
ELO Change+42-42
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Chuck Liddell: +20Renato Sobral: -11

Performance Statistics

MetricChuck LiddellRenato Sobral
Days Since Last Fight154133
Activity ELO1 2301 026
ELO Change+20-11
💡

What Happened

Chuck Liddell demonstrated solid activity levels with 154 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Chuck Liddell capitalized on this activity level, while Renato Sobral's 133-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Chuck Liddell: +37Renato Sobral: -13

Performance Statistics

MetricChuck LiddellRenato Sobral
Win Streak70
Win Streak ELO1 2111 015
ELO Change+37-13
💡

What Happened

Chuck Liddell continued building serious momentum with a 7-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Renato Sobral's now at 0.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Chuck Liddell: +16Renato Sobral: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricChuck LiddellRenato Sobral
Weight ClassLight HeavyweightLight Heavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 1311 006
ELO Change+16-16
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.