November 21, 2002
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chuck Liddell | Renato Sobral |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 196 | 1 069 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Chuck Liddell's 5-fight experience advantage (9 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Chuck Liddell for the expected result. Had Renato Sobral pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Chuck Liddell | Renato Sobral |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 136 | 1 016 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chuck Liddell | Renato Sobral |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:55 | 2:55 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 328 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -16 |
Chuck Liddell earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:55, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Chuck Liddell | Renato Sobral |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 13 | 10 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 35 | 18 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 13 | 10 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 398 | 999 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Chuck Liddell controlled the striking exchanges with 37.1% vs 55.6% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Chuck Liddell capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chuck Liddell | Renato Sobral |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:03 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 250 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -42 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Chuck Liddell | Renato Sobral |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 154 | 133 |
| Activity ELO | 1 230 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -11 |
Chuck Liddell demonstrated solid activity levels with 154 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Chuck Liddell capitalized on this activity level, while Renato Sobral's 133-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chuck Liddell | Renato Sobral |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 7 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 211 | 1 015 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -13 |
Chuck Liddell continued building serious momentum with a 7-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Renato Sobral's now at 0.
| Metric | Chuck Liddell | Renato Sobral |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 131 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

