December 28, 2007
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chuck Liddell | Wanderlei Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 20 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 16 | -16 |
| Experience ELO | 1 250 | 973 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -12 |
Chuck Liddell's 16-fight experience advantage (20 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Chuck Liddell for the expected result. Had Wanderlei Silva pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Chuck Liddell | Wanderlei Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 350 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +5 | -5 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chuck Liddell | Wanderlei Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 580 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | +4 | -4 |
Chuck Liddell earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Chuck Liddell | Wanderlei Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 58 | 44 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 175 | 177 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 59 | 45 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 380 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | +8 | -8 |
Chuck Liddell edged the striking exchanges with 58 vs 44 significant strikes, 33.1% vs 24.9% accuracy. Chuck Liddell capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chuck Liddell | Wanderlei Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:10 | 0:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 354 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +8 | -8 |
Chuck Liddell edged out Wanderlei Silva on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 1:10 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Chuck Liddell | Wanderlei Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 99 | 2 816 |
| Activity ELO | 1 355 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -5 |
Chuck Liddell demonstrated solid activity levels with 99 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Chuck Liddell capitalized on this activity level, while Wanderlei Silva's 2816-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chuck Liddell | Wanderlei Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 305 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +7 | -6 |
Chuck Liddell started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Wanderlei Silva is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chuck Liddell | Wanderlei Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 199 | 975 |
| ELO Change | +10 | -10 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.