March 3, 2023
UFC Heavyweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ciryl Gane | Jon Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 23 |
| Experience Gap | -13 | 13 |
| Experience ELO | 1 342 | 1 526 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
Jon Jones's 13-fight experience advantage (23 vs 10 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jon Jones for the expected result. Had Ciryl Gane pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Ciryl Gane | Jon Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 157 | 1 539 |
| ELO Change | -5 | +14 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Jon Jones captured the UFC Heavyweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Ciryl Gane | Jon Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:04 | 2:04 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 619 | 1 850 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +40 |
Jon Jones earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:04, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Ciryl Gane | Jon Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 6 | 5 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 8 | 10 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 7 | 8 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 638 | 1 835 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +12 |
Ciryl Gane controlled the striking through superior accuracy (75.0% vs 50.0%). However, since Ciryl Gane lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Jon Jones's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Ciryl Gane | Jon Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:57 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 326 | 1 815 |
| ELO Change | -9 | +9 |
Jon Jones controlled Ciryl Gane on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 0:57 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Ciryl Gane | Jon Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 183 | 1 120 |
| Activity ELO | 1 442 | 1 592 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +12 |
Jon Jones demonstrated extended layoff with 1120 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Jon Jones capitalized on this activity level, while Ciryl Gane's 183-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ciryl Gane | Jon Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 5 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 273 | 1 586 |
| ELO Change | -6 | +12 |
Jon Jones continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Ciryl Gane's now at 0.
| Metric | Ciryl Gane | Jon Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | Yes |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 143 | 1 496 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +176 |
HISTORIC DOUBLE CHAMPION ACHIEVEMENT! Jon Jones etched his name into MMA legend by capturing the Heavyweight title while already having held another belt. This ultra-rare multi-division champion status triggered a massive multiplier, delivering a colossal 176-point bonus - one of the highest individual rewards in the entire algorithm!
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.

