September 1, 2023
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ciryl Gane | Serghei Spivac |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 364 | 1 222 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -15 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (11 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Ciryl Gane | Serghei Spivac |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 174 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ciryl Gane | Serghei Spivac |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:44 | 3:44 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 663 | 1 410 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -21 |
Ciryl Gane gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Ciryl Gane | Serghei Spivac |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 109 | 11 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 156 | 44 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 110 | 11 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 667 | 1 274 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Ciryl Gane dominated the striking exchanges with 110 vs 11 total strikes, 109 vs 11 significant strikes, 69.9% vs 25.0% accuracy. Ciryl Gane capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ciryl Gane | Serghei Spivac |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:09 | 0:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 353 | 1 403 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Ciryl Gane | Serghei Spivac |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 182 | 210 |
| Activity ELO | 1 453 | 1 207 |
| ELO Change | +11 | -9 |
Ciryl Gane demonstrated standard activity with 182 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Ciryl Gane capitalized on this activity level, while Serghei Spivac's 210-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ciryl Gane | Serghei Spivac |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 287 | 1 114 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -13 |
Ciryl Gane started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Serghei Spivac is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ciryl Gane | Serghei Spivac |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 161 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.