April 29, 2011
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Claude Patrick | Daniel Roberts |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 127 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -31 |
Claude Patrick overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 5 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Daniel Roberts.
| Metric | Claude Patrick | Daniel Roberts |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 062 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Claude Patrick | Daniel Roberts |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 150 | 1 089 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -46 |
Claude Patrick earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Claude Patrick | Daniel Roberts |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 29 | 6 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 62 | 79 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 51 | 31 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 117 | 1 028 |
| ELO Change | +51 | -51 |
Claude Patrick controlled the striking exchanges with 51 vs 31 total strikes, 29 vs 6 significant strikes, 46.8% vs 7.6% accuracy. Claude Patrick capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Claude Patrick | Daniel Roberts |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:49 | 4:09 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 253 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | +71 | -71 |
Claude Patrick controlled Daniel Roberts on the ground with 4 vs 1 takedowns, 4:49 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Claude Patrick | Daniel Roberts |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 196 | 119 |
| Activity ELO | 1 095 | 1 120 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -26 |
Claude Patrick demonstrated standard activity with 196 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Claude Patrick capitalized on this activity level, while Daniel Roberts's 119-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Claude Patrick | Daniel Roberts |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 075 | 1 034 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -22 |
Claude Patrick extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Daniel Roberts is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Claude Patrick | Daniel Roberts |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 062 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.