June 2, 2017
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Claudia Gadelha | Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 079 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (6 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Claudia Gadelha | Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 053 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Claudia Gadelha | Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:03 | 3:03 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 160 | 1 036 |
| ELO Change | +66 | -40 |
Claudia Gadelha earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:03, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Claudia Gadelha | Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 8 | 9 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 28 | 37 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 8 | 12 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 060 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
The striking was extremely close with minimal separation between fighters. However, since Karolina Kowalkiewicz lost the overall fight, any slight striking edge couldn't be converted into ELO gains. Claudia Gadelha's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Claudia Gadelha | Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:46 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 234 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Claudia Gadelha controlled Karolina Kowalkiewicz on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:46 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Claudia Gadelha | Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 196 | 203 |
| Activity ELO | 1 097 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -24 |
Claudia Gadelha demonstrated standard activity with 196 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Claudia Gadelha capitalized on this activity level, while Karolina Kowalkiewicz's 203-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Claudia Gadelha | Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 060 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -23 |
Claudia Gadelha extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Karolina Kowalkiewicz is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Claudia Gadelha | Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 048 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.