April 22, 2022
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Claudio Puelles | Clay Guida |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 33 |
| Experience Gap | -27 | 27 |
| Experience ELO | 1 197 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | +81 | -29 |
Claudio Puelles overcame a 27-fight experience disadvantage (6 vs 33 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Clay Guida.
| Metric | Claudio Puelles | Clay Guida |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 082 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Claudio Puelles | Clay Guida |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:01 | 3:01 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 278 | 1 239 |
| ELO Change | +89 | -54 |
Claudio Puelles earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:01, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Claudio Puelles | Clay Guida |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 1 | 3 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 3 | 4 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 11 | 4 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 107 | 1 112 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -44 |
Clay Guida controlled the striking through superior accuracy (75.0% vs 33.3%). However, since Clay Guida lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Claudio Puelles's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Claudio Puelles | Clay Guida |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:14 | 1:10 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 259 | 1 188 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -44 |
Claudio Puelles edged out Clay Guida on the ground with 1 ground strike, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Claudio Puelles | Clay Guida |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 140 | 140 |
| Activity ELO | 1 124 | 1 186 |
| ELO Change | +59 | -30 |
Claudio Puelles demonstrated solid activity levels with 140 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Claudio Puelles capitalized on this activity level, while Clay Guida's 140-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Claudio Puelles | Clay Guida |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 5 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 121 | 1 071 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -22 |
Claudio Puelles continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Clay Guida's now at 0.
| Metric | Claudio Puelles | Clay Guida |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 082 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.