November 11, 2022
Lightweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Claudio Puelles | Dan Hooker |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 20 |
| Experience Gap | -13 | 13 |
| Experience ELO | 1 156 | 1 130 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +41 |
Dan Hooker's 13-fight experience advantage (20 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Dan Hooker for the expected result. Had Claudio Puelles pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Claudio Puelles | Dan Hooker |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 060 | 1 093 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Claudio Puelles | Dan Hooker |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:06 | 4:06 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 240 | 1 391 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +77 |
Dan Hooker gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Claudio Puelles | Dan Hooker |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 5 | 29 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 18 | 63 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 5 | 37 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 998 | 1 286 |
| ELO Change | -109 | +109 |
Dan Hooker controlled the striking exchanges with 37 vs 5 total strikes, 29 vs 5 significant strikes, 46.0% vs 27.8% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Dan Hooker capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Claudio Puelles | Dan Hooker |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 8 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:08 | 2:08 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 1 194 | 1 275 |
| ELO Change | -65 | +65 |
Dan Hooker landed 1 knockdown followed by 5 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Claudio Puelles | Dan Hooker |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 204 | 238 |
| Activity ELO | 1 111 | 1 278 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +16 |
Dan Hooker demonstrated standard activity with 238 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Dan Hooker capitalized on this activity level, while Claudio Puelles's 204-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Claudio Puelles | Dan Hooker |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 100 | 1 150 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Dan Hooker started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Claudio Puelles is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Claudio Puelles | Dan Hooker |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 060 | 1 092 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.