February 23, 2024
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Claudio Puelles | Fares Ziam |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 117 | 1 113 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +42 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (8 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Claudio Puelles | Fares Ziam |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 038 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Claudio Puelles | Fares Ziam |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 225 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +15 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Fares Ziam receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Claudio Puelles | Fares Ziam |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 4 | 31 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 9 | 48 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 17 | 58 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 944 | 1 117 |
| ELO Change | -54 | +54 |
Fares Ziam controlled the striking exchanges with 58 vs 17 total strikes, 31 vs 4 significant strikes, 64.6% vs 44.4% accuracy. Fares Ziam capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Claudio Puelles | Fares Ziam |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 7 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 13 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 7:14 | 4:30 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 24 |
| Ground ELO | 1 154 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +40 |
Fares Ziam did not secure a significant ground advantage against Claudio Puelles on the ground with 0 takedowns, 4:30 of control time, 24 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Claudio Puelles | Fares Ziam |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 469 | 218 |
| Activity ELO | 1 087 | 1 085 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +31 |
Fares Ziam demonstrated standard activity with 218 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Fares Ziam capitalized on this activity level, while Claudio Puelles's 469-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Claudio Puelles | Fares Ziam |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 076 | 1 086 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +31 |
Fares Ziam extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Claudio Puelles is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Claudio Puelles | Fares Ziam |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 038 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.