May 5, 2023
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Claudio Ribeiro | Joseph Holmes |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 002 | 943 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -32 |
Claudio Ribeiro overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 4 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Joseph Holmes.
| Metric | Claudio Ribeiro | Joseph Holmes |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 000 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Claudio Ribeiro | Joseph Holmes |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:21 | 3:21 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 070 | 945 |
| ELO Change | +87 | -42 |
Claudio Ribeiro gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Claudio Ribeiro | Joseph Holmes |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 37 | 17 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 63 | 24 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 60 | 22 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 078 | 881 |
| ELO Change | +125 | -125 |
Claudio Ribeiro controlled the striking exchanges with 60 vs 22 total strikes, 37 vs 17 significant strikes, 58.7% vs 70.8% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Claudio Ribeiro capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Claudio Ribeiro | Joseph Holmes |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:07 | 2:30 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 26 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 010 | 846 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -49 |
Claudio Ribeiro controlled Joseph Holmes on the ground with 1 takedown, 3:07 of control time, 26 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Claudio Ribeiro | Joseph Holmes |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 112 | 189 |
| Activity ELO | 1 039 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +55 | -22 |
Claudio Ribeiro demonstrated solid activity levels with 112 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Claudio Ribeiro capitalized on this activity level, while Joseph Holmes's 189-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Claudio Ribeiro | Joseph Holmes |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 002 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Claudio Ribeiro started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Joseph Holmes is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Claudio Ribeiro | Joseph Holmes |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 000 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.