May 21, 2021
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Claudio Silva | Court McGee |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 18 |
| Experience Gap | -11 | 11 |
| Experience ELO | 1 109 | 967 |
| ELO Change | -51 | +51 |
Court McGee's 11-fight experience advantage (18 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Court McGee for the expected result. Had Claudio Silva pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Claudio Silva | Court McGee |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 051 | 990 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Claudio Silva | Court McGee |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 164 | 1 077 |
| ELO Change | -65 | +65 |
Court McGee earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Claudio Silva | Court McGee |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 21 | 37 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 56 | 74 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 81 | 110 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 138 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | -50 | +50 |
Court McGee controlled the striking exchanges with 110 vs 81 total strikes, 37 vs 21 significant strikes, 50.0% vs 37.5% accuracy. Court McGee capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Claudio Silva | Court McGee |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 10 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:48 | 8:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 12 |
| Ground ELO | 1 180 | 1 173 |
| ELO Change | -143 | +143 |
Court McGee dominated Claudio Silva on the ground with 3 vs 1 takedowns, 8:03 of control time, 12 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Claudio Silva | Court McGee |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 217 | 231 |
| Activity ELO | 1 079 | 1 056 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +32 |
Court McGee demonstrated standard activity with 231 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Court McGee capitalized on this activity level, while Claudio Silva's 217-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Claudio Silva | Court McGee |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 086 | 1 014 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +31 |
Court McGee started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Claudio Silva is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Claudio Silva | Court McGee |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 051 | 990 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.