March 15, 2019
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Claudio Silva | Danny Roberts |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 176 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -26 |
Claudio Silva overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 8 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Danny Roberts.
| Metric | Claudio Silva | Danny Roberts |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 085 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Claudio Silva | Danny Roberts |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 2:37 | 2:37 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 228 | 1 125 |
| ELO Change | +63 | -42 |
Claudio Silva earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 2:37, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Danny Roberts was submitted.
| Metric | Claudio Silva | Danny Roberts |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 19 | 26 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 38 | 45 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 35 | 29 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 165 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Danny Roberts controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (26 vs 19). However, since Danny Roberts lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Claudio Silva's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Claudio Silva | Danny Roberts |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 6:13 | 3:11 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 7 | 18 |
| Ground ELO | 1 320 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -49 |
Claudio Silva dominated Danny Roberts on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 6:13 of control time, 7 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Claudio Silva | Danny Roberts |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 294 | 238 |
| Activity ELO | 1 094 | 1 092 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Claudio Silva demonstrated standard activity with 294 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Claudio Silva capitalized on this activity level, while Danny Roberts's 238-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Claudio Silva | Danny Roberts |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 107 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -20 |
Claudio Silva extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Danny Roberts is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Claudio Silva | Danny Roberts |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 085 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.