October 16, 2020
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Claudio Silva | James Krause |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 13 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 160 | 1 208 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
James Krause's 7-fight experience advantage (13 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding James Krause for the expected result. Had Claudio Silva pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Claudio Silva | James Krause |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 079 | 1 101 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Claudio Silva | James Krause |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 229 | 1 395 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
James Krause earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Claudio Silva | James Krause |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 64 | 94 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 214 | 159 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 66 | 96 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 188 | 1 256 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
James Krause controlled the striking exchanges with 96 vs 66 total strikes, 94 vs 64 significant strikes, 59.1% vs 29.9% accuracy. James Krause capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Claudio Silva | James Krause |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 12 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:58 | 0:14 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 323 | 1 209 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
James Krause did not secure a significant ground advantage against Claudio Silva on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Claudio Silva | James Krause |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 441 | 252 |
| Activity ELO | 1 105 | 1 160 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +26 |
James Krause demonstrated standard activity with 252 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, James Krause capitalized on this activity level, while Claudio Silva's 441-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Claudio Silva | James Krause |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 115 | 1 167 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +22 |
James Krause started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Claudio Silva is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Claudio Silva | James Krause |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 079 | 1 101 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.