September 4, 2015
Featherweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Clay Collard | Tiago dos Santos e Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 951 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +33 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Clay Collard | Tiago dos Santos e Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 964 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Clay Collard | Tiago dos Santos e Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 981 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | -10 | +10 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Tiago dos Santos e Silva receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Clay Collard | Tiago dos Santos e Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 84 | 52 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 210 | 122 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 136 | 73 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 963 | 944 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Clay Collard controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (136 vs 73 total strikes), significant strike advantage (84 vs 52), 1 knockdown. However, since Clay Collard lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Tiago dos Santos e Silva's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Clay Collard | Tiago dos Santos e Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:16 | 3:37 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 15 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 966 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
Tiago dos Santos e Silva slightly outworked Clay Collard on the ground with 1 takedown, 3:37 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning modest grappling bonuses.
| Metric | Clay Collard | Tiago dos Santos e Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 84 | 195 |
| Activity ELO | 998 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +28 |
Tiago dos Santos e Silva demonstrated standard activity with 195 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Tiago dos Santos e Silva capitalized on this activity level, while Clay Collard's 84-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Clay Collard | Tiago dos Santos e Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 966 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +22 |
Tiago dos Santos e Silva started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Clay Collard is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Clay Collard | Tiago dos Santos e Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 964 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.