July 25, 2014
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Clay Guida | Dennis Bermudez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 20 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | 12 | -12 |
| Experience ELO | 1 096 | 1 213 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +50 |
Dennis Bermudez overcame a 12-fight experience disadvantage (8 vs 20 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Clay Guida.
| Metric | Clay Guida | Dennis Bermudez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 055 | 1 119 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Clay Guida | Dennis Bermudez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:57 | 2:57 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 191 | 1 289 |
| ELO Change | -44 | +68 |
Dennis Bermudez earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 2:57, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Clay Guida was submitted.
| Metric | Clay Guida | Dennis Bermudez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 28 | 47 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 79 | 114 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 39 | 66 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 138 | 1 293 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Dennis Bermudez controlled the striking exchanges with 66 vs 39 total strikes, 47 vs 28 significant strikes. Dennis Bermudez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Clay Guida | Dennis Bermudez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:16 | 2:10 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 246 | 1 426 |
| ELO Change | -64 | +64 |
Dennis Bermudez controlled Clay Guida on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 2:10 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Clay Guida | Dennis Bermudez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 106 | 133 |
| Activity ELO | 1 190 | 1 254 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +42 |
Dennis Bermudez demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Dennis Bermudez capitalized on this activity level, while Clay Guida's 106-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Clay Guida | Dennis Bermudez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 7 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 094 | 1 213 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +52 |
Dennis Bermudez continued building serious momentum with a 7-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Clay Guida's now at 0.
| Metric | Clay Guida | Dennis Bermudez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 054 | 1 119 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

